Rebound Hound
Quality Reversal Watch: 11 High-Scoring Names Sitting Near Support
A fresh quality-reversal screen turned up 11 candidates out of 150 names. These are higher-quality businesses (or Bitcoin) that have pulled back to, or are hovering just around, a defined support level—mostly the 50-day or 200-day moving average—with RSI in a constructive mid-range rather than deep oversold panic.
Full Scan Results
Higher scores generally reflect a stronger combination of quality characteristics and proximity to support. The “Y” in the DI column indicates an additional directional bias on some names.
| Symbol | Score | Price | Support | Level | Distance | RSI | DI | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APD | 99 | 283.75 | 200-day | 286.84 | −1.1% | 43 | Y | TradingView |
| AM | 94 | 21.09 | 200-day | 21.35 | −1.2% | 51 | Y | TradingView |
| CGAU | 94 | 22.49 | 50-day | 22.19 | +1.4% | 42 | — | TradingView |
| ABM | 90 | 49.63 | 50-day | 48.45 | +2.4% | 52 | Y | TradingView |
| BKNG | 82 | 158.57 | 40-day | 154.06 | +2.9% | 42 | — | TradingView |
| BTC-USD | 80 | ~82,428 | 50-period | ~81,035 | +1.7% | 46 | — | TradingView |
| ADPT | 75 | 26.49 | 50-day | 26.02 | +1.8% | 44 | — | TradingView |
| ASML | 75 | 1,750.99 | 50-day | 1,743.34 | +0.4% | 50 | — | TradingView |
| CEVA | 75 | 31.75 | 50-day | 31.34 | +1.3% | 44 | — | TradingView |
| AAOI | 68 | 109.64 | 200-day | 110.96 | −1.2% | 51 | — | TradingView |
| BLLN | 68 | 98.09 | 200-day | 95.29 | +2.9% | 45 | — | TradingView |
Prices and levels are from the original scan snapshot. Always confirm current values on TradingView or your broker platform.
Top Setups: Entry Zones, Targets & Estimated Probabilities
The zones below are practical ideas only. Prefer confirmation (hold of support, bullish candle, or improving volume) over blind entries. Probability figures are rough illustrative estimates based on typical mean-reversion behavior of quality names near major moving averages when RSI is in the 40–55 range. They are higher when a directional filter (DI = Y) is present. They are not precise win rates for this exact screen.
APD – Air Products (Score 99)
Sitting just under its 200-day moving average with RSI 43 and DI confirmation. Highest-scoring name on the list.
| Zone | Level / Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Entry zone | 282.50 – 287.00 | Near or slightly under the 200-day. Prefer a hold or bounce. |
| Example stop | Below 278 | ~2–3% under support or recent swing low. |
| Target 1 | ~298 (+5%) | First measured bounce. |
| Target 2 | ~310–315 (+9–11%) | Toward recent resistance / prior range. |
| Est. probability to T1 | ~60–65% | DI confirmation and proximity to major MA help. |
AM – Antero Midstream (Score 94)
Tight under the 200-day, neutral RSI, DI confirmation. Midstream energy name with a solid yield profile.
| Zone | Level / Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Entry zone | 20.80 – 21.40 | Right at or just under the 200-day. |
| Example stop | Below 20.40 | Clear break of support. |
| Target 1 | ~22.15 (+5%) | Quick mean-reversion target. |
| Target 2 | ~23.00–23.50 (+9–11%) | Toward recent highs. |
| Est. probability to T1 | ~58–63% | Similar profile to APD. |
CGAU – Centerra Gold (Score 94)
Hovering just above its 50-day with cooler RSI (42). Gold exposure can add a different beta.
| Zone | Level / Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Entry zone | 21.90 – 22.40 | Near the 50-day from above. |
| Example stop | Below 21.50 | Loss of the short-term average. |
| Target 1 | ~23.60 (+5%) | First bounce zone. |
| Target 2 | ~24.50–25.00 (+9–11%) | Toward recent range highs. |
| Est. probability to T1 | ~55–60% | No DI flag, but clean location. |
ABM – ABM Industries (Score 90)
Modestly above its 50-day, RSI 52, DI confirmation. Facilities-services name with steady characteristics.
| Zone | Level / Range | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Entry zone | 48.20 – 49.20 | Pullback toward the 50-day. |
| Example stop | Below 47.50 | Break of nearby support. |
| Target 1 | ~52.10 (+5%) | Conservative first target. |
| Target 2 | ~54.00–55.00 (+9–11%) | Toward higher range. |
| Est. probability to T1 | ~58–63% | DI confirmation supports the bounce thesis. |
ASML – Quick Note (Score 75)
Extremely tight to its 50-day (+0.4%). High-quality semiconductor equipment name. Entry interest near 1,740–1,755; first target roughly +4–6% toward prior swing area. Probability estimate in the mid-50s without a strong DI flag.
Bitcoin (BTC-USD, Score 80)
Sitting ~1.7% above its 50-period level. Crypto mean-reversion setups can move faster but are also more volatile. Entry interest near 81,000–82,500; first target zone roughly +5–8%. Treat probability estimates more cautiously (mid-50s range).
How to Think About the Probabilities
These are not backtested win rates for this exact scanner. They are practical estimates drawn from the general tendency of quality stocks to find buyers near well-watched moving averages when RSI is in the 40–55 zone and a directional filter is present. Real outcomes vary with market regime, news flow, and volume. The highest-scoring names with “Y” in the DI column historically look a bit cleaner on this type of setup.
Risk Management Reminder
- Prefer entries on confirmation (hold of support, bullish candle, or volume) rather than blind limit orders.
- Size positions so a stop under support does not materially hurt the portfolio.
- Taking partial profits at Target 1 and trailing the rest is a common approach.
- Always check the live chart—levels move.
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