Tusday Report

Grok Swing Trade Analyzer

Sorted by Probability & Optimal Risk-to-Reward Ratio (Data Snapshot: Late May 2026)

NVDA Bullish Dip Buy

Last Close$215.33

Est. Probability82%

Risk:Reward1 : 3.5

Key Catalyst$80B Buyback / Vera CPU

Trend & Structure

Primary daily/weekly trend strongly bullish. SMA Stack cleanly aligned (20 > 50 > 200). Normal healthy post-earnings consolidation 8-9% below ATH.

Key Levels

Support: $211–$214 (Immediate) | $197–$198 (Macro Floor / 50-day SMA)

Resistance: $221 (Pivot) | $236.54 (ATH Supply)

🎯 Trade Setup Active

Entry: $207 – $212 on dip OR on high-volume breakout >$221

Stop Loss: $193 – $197 (Daily close below 50-day SMA)

Targets: T1: $225–$230 | T2: $236–$245+

AMZN Bullish Flag Base

Last Close$266.32

Est. Probability80%

Risk:Reward1 : 3.2

Key Catalyst$200B AI/AWS Spend

Trend & Structure

Intermediate and long-term charts firmly bullish. Volume dried up heavily on this 4-5% pullback from ATHs, indicating seller exhaustion.

Key Levels

Support: $265 (Immediate) | $258–$260 (Critical Fib Shelf)

Resistance: $270–$272.50 (20-day MA) | $278.56 (ATH)

🎯 Trade Setup Active

Entry: $263 – $267 area or on volume breakout >$270

Stop Loss: Below $258 (Recent swing lows)

Targets: T1: $272–$275 | T2: $278–$280+

AMD Parabolic Long

Last Close$467.51

Est. Probability78%

Risk:Reward1 : 2.5

Key Catalyst$10B Taiwan AI Pack

Trend & Structure

Parabolic intermediate uptrend (+113% YTD). Aggressive institutional backing following Meta custom hardware wins. Extended, watch for overbought daily cooling.

Key Levels

Support: $450–$460 (Near-term) | $393–$400 (Major Gap Floor)

Resistance: $481.41 (ATH Line) | $500 (Psychological)

🎯 Trade Setup Active

Entry: Pullbacks to $450 – $460 preferred for optimal R:R

Stop Loss: Below $430 (Shorter swings can use $440)

Targets: T1: $500–$520 | T2: $550+

GOOGL Oversold Dip Buy

Last Close$382.97

Est. Probability76%

Risk:Reward1 : 2.4

Key CatalystGoogle I/O Agent Growth

Trend & Structure

Long-term uptrend robust. Short-term 6% correction from high has pushed daily stochastics into deeply oversold territory on very light volume.

Key Levels

Support: $381–$383 (Immediate) | $374–$377 (Pivot Cluster)

Resistance: $388–$390 | $408 (ATH Retest)

🎯 Trade Setup Active

Entry: $381 – $385 zone or down to $375 on expansion

Stop Loss: Below $370 (Major pivot cluster invalidation)

Targets: T1: $400 | T2: $408–$410

SMCI Reversal Breakout

Last Close$35.58

Est. Probability74%

Risk:Reward1 : 4.0

Key CatalystBlackwell Server Ramps

Trend & Structure

Short-term momentum has cleanly shifted bullish. Reclaimed the daily 50-day MA with a high-volume +6.34% candle on May 22. Cheap forward P/E (~11).

Key Levels

Support: $34.19 (Breakout Point) | $32.81–$33.46 (Pivot Low)

Resistance: $36.29–$36.45 (Key Line) | $39.00–$41.00 (Major)

🎯 Trade Setup Active

Entry: Retests of $33.50 – $34.50 OR clear breakout >$36.50

Stop Loss: Below $32.50 (Strict risk parameters required)

Targets: T1: $39–$41 | T2: $45–$50

ARM High Beta Momentum

Last Close~$255.00

Est. Probability72%

Risk:Reward1 : 2.8

Key CatalystIn-House AGI CPU Launch

Trend & Structure

Impulsive vertical trend with immense relative strength. Transitioning model from pure IP licensing to direct data center hardware sales with Meta.

Key Levels

Support: $235–$240 (Prior Breakout) | $220–$230 (20-day EMA)

Resistance: $260 | $280–$300 (Analyst Targets)

🎯 Trade Setup Active

Entry: Pullbacks to the 20-day EMA ($225 – $235) preferred

Stop Loss: Below $215 (High structural volatility room)

Targets: T1: $260–$275 | T2: $280–$300

AAPL Extended Grind

Last Close$308.82

Est. Probability68%

Risk:Reward1 : 2.2

Key CatalystiPhone 17 Pro / Air Cycle

Trend & Structure

Delivered 8 consecutive positive weeks to fresh ATHs. Medium-term channel is rising cleanly, but indicators suggest an extended near-term posture.

Key Levels

Support: $305.80 (Immediate) | $299–$303 (MA Retracement floor)

Resistance: $311.40 (ATH) | $315–$317 (Pivot Extensions)

🎯 Trade Setup Stretched

Entry: Retests of support near $304 – $306.50 preferred

Stop Loss: Below $300 (Gives clean protection parameters)

Targets: T1: $315–$317 | T2: $325+

META Mean Reversion

Last Close$610.26

Est. Probability65%

Risk:Reward1 : 2.5

Key Catalyst8-10% Corporate Layoffs

Trend & Structure

Short-term trend is bearish/corrective (-10% month), flushing on increased infrastructure guidance. Probing a major historical horizontal floor.

Key Levels

Support: $600 (Psychological) | $584 (Major Multi-Month Floor)

Resistance: $650–$670 (Moving Average Cluster)

🎯 Trade Setup Consolidating

Entry: Accumulate in the $595 – $610 zone near structural base

Stop Loss: Below $575 (Invalidated on daily close under $580)

Targets: T1: $650–$670 | T2: $700+

MSFT Bottoming Base

Last Close$418.57

Est. Probability62%

Risk:Reward1 : 2.6

Key CatalystMicrosoft Build (June 2-3)

Trend & Structure

Corrective intermediate profile (down 13% YTD). Stabilizing above the 50-day MA. Low ADX indicates trendless, flat, post-earnings consolidation.

Key Levels

Support: $410–$413 (Breakout Level) | $400 (Psych Floor)

Resistance: $425–$430 (Immediate) | $432–$434 (1-Month High)

🎯 Trade Setup Neutral

Entry: Dips to $412 – $416 OR on close above $425 with volume

Stop Loss: Tight protection below $408–$410

Targets: T1: $428–$433 | T2: $440+

PLTR Deep Value Dip

Last Close$136.88

Est. Probability60%

Risk:Reward1 : 3.8

Key CatalystUS Commercial Revenue +133%

Trend & Structure

Short-term trend corrective (-34% from ATH) due to valuation premium contraction. Volume shrinking heavily, indicating active downside exhaustion.

Key Levels

Support: $133–$135 (Near-term) | $130 (Critical Macro Floor/Fib)

Resistance: $138–$140 (20-day MA) | $142–$145 (50-day MA)

🎯 Trade Setup Speculative Dip

Entry: Scale-in at $132 – $135 floor or on validation clear of $140

Stop Loss: Below $129 (Hard protection cutoff at the $130 line)

Targets: T1: $142–$145 | T2: $150–$155 | T3: $160+

HOOD Structural Floor

Last Close$73.64

Est. Probability58%

Risk:Reward1 : 2.8

Key CatalystPrediction Markets Growth

Trend & Structure

Short-term corrective channel under the daily EMA network. Long-term turnaround profile remains stellar; volume compressing inside current base.

Key Levels

Support: $72–$73 (Pivots) | $65–$66 (Deeper Structural Value)

Resistance: $76–$78 (Near-term) | $79–$82 (Daily Cloud/VWAP)

🎯 Trade Setup Consolidating

Entry: $73 – $75 area or on validation clear of $78 line

Stop Loss: Below $68–$70 base parameters

Targets: T1: $82–$85 | T2: $90–$93 | T3: $98–$100

COIN High Vol Turnaround

Last Close$184.99

Est. Probability