High Probability Opportunities On Crypto. Swings

Crypto Market Relief Rally — Excerpt from Grok Conversation

Excerpt from Grok Conversation

As of November 9, 2025

The crypto market has staged a solid weekend relief rally after dipping into extreme fear mid-week. BTC reclaimed $103,000–$104,000 (+2–3% daily), ETH surged to $3,520+ (+4%+), SOL hit $163 (+4.6%), and XRP held $2.31 (+2.8%). Total market cap is around $3.5–$3.6T (+2.5% daily), with volume $131–$134B.

coingecko.com +3

Sentiment flipped from extreme fear (20–27 earlier) toward neutral, with Fear & Greed recovering but still cautious.

bitdegree.org +1

Key drivers: Spot BTC ETFs snapped a 6-day outflow streak with +$240M inflows (BlackRock/Fidelity leading), ETH +$12M, SOL steady.

blockhead.co +2

Whales accumulated 30K BTC ($3B) on dips; Tether reserve grabbed 961 BTC.

blockhead.co

On-chain: Leverage flushed (shorts rekt, OI rising with price), stablecoin reserves at 9-month highs (~$10B on Binance), MVRV ~1.4 signaling potential bottom.

tradingview.com +1

X chatter bullish on “final leg up” into Jan 2026, Thanksgiving/Santa rally, govt re-opening.

Short-term bias: Bullish continuation (80% confidence for bounces). Oversold RSI/MACD flattening, lower Bollinger Band holds, $10B+ shorts at risk of squeeze.

tradingview.com +2

Historical Nov strength + catalysts (XRP smart contracts live today, Fusaka hype, potential Fed pivot) favor 10–25% swings.

coinmarketcap.com +1

High-Probability Aggressive Swing Trades (Next 24–48 Hours)

BTC/USD Long (80% confidence)
Entry: $103,000–$103,500 (holding 200EMA/psych support).
Targets: $105,000 (+2%), $106,500 (+3%), $108,000 (+5%) — short squeeze if >$105k.
Stop: $101,500 (liq clusters below).
@kingfisher_btc
Rationale: ETF inflows resume, whales buying dips, $10B shorts piling.
blockhead.co +2
106k decision point; hold for pre-Christmas pump.
@0xPickleCati
RR: 1:4+.

ETH/USD Long (85% confidence)
Entry: $3,500–$3,550 (June demand zone retest).
Targets: $3,600 (+3%), $3,750 (+7%), $3,900 (+11%).
Stop: $3,380.
@CryptoTice_
Rationale: Outperforming BTC (+4% daily), shorts flushed, pdEQ hold signals $3,600+. Fusaka + ETF flows building.

SOL/USD Long (75% confidence)
Entry: $160–$164.
Targets: $170 (+5%), $180 (+10%), $185 (+13%).
Stop: $155.
Rationale: +4.6% lead, meme/DeFi rotation, ETF speculation.

XRP/USD Long (70% confidence, news-driven)
Entry: $2.30–$2.35.
Targets: $2.50 (+8%), $2.70 (+15%), $2.90 (+25%).
Stop: $2.20.
Rationale: Smart contracts live today, ETF revisions, +2.9% daily outperformer.
coinmarketcap.com

Higher-Risk Plays (30–60% Potential)

Privacy coins (ZEC +23%, XMR +20%, ICP +15%) – whale reallocations.
coingecko.com

Memes on SOL (BONK, new pumps) – weekend volume spikes.
@BitcoinArchive

Risks: Govt shutdown/tariffs linger, whale distribution if $106k rejects BTC.
Invalidate longs on daily close below entries.
Momentum strong – this bounce has legs into mid-Nov. DYOR, tight stops. Market faking tops for pain before real move.

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