FUBO – Bouncing In The Channel
FuboTV (FUBO): Channel Breakout Setup – A Trader's Roadmap to $4.90 and Beyond
Updated with Protective Stop Logic for the Bear Case
Hey crew — you asked for clarity, so here’s the refined playbook with hard stop-loss levels baked in to minimize damage if the bears take control. FUBO closed Oct 28 at $3.96, still coiling in that $3.54–$4.65 rectangle. Earnings Nov 7 loom large, merger buzz is simmering, and call flow’s picking up — but risk management wins trades.
Below is your one-stop trade table — now with logical stop-loss placement ($3.48–$3.50) to shield you from a channel breakdown, plus max drawdown %, R:R, and what triggers an exit.
FUBO Trade Scenarios: Entries, Exits, Stops, Returns & Probabilities
| Scenario | Entry Point | Stop Loss | Max Risk (%) | Exit Targets | Potential % Return | R:R Ratio | Probability | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullish Dip Buy | $3.70–$3.80 | $3.48 | –5.9% to –8.1% | TP1: $4.65 TP2: $4.90 |
+22% to +32% | 1:3.7 to 1:4.2 | 65% | Best risk/reward. Stop just below channel support ($3.54) with 1–2% buffer. |
| Breakout Chase | $4.20+ | $3.96 (today’s close) | –5.7% | TP1: $4.90 TP2: $5.35 |
+17% to +27% | 1:3 to 1:4.7 | 55% | Tight stop on fakeout. Trail to $4.10 if $4.65 clears. |
| Aggressive Long | $3.96 | $3.48 | –12.1% | TP1: $4.90 TP2: $6.00 |
+24% to +52% | 1:2 to 1:4.3 | 45% | Higher risk — only for earnings gamblers. Use mental stop. |
| Bearish Hedge (Short) | Short $3.54 | $3.80 | +7.3% (on short) | TP1: $3.20 TP2: $2.74 |
+9% to +23% (short) | 1:1.2 to 1:3.1 | 35% | Only on volume-confirmed breakdown. Rare, but valid. |
Why $3.48 is Your "Line in the Sand" Stop
- Channel support: $3.54 held 4 times in 6 weeks — a break = pattern failure.
- 1–2% buffer avoids stop hunts and intraday wicks (common in FUBO).
- Psychological + prior low: $3.50 defended on Oct 23; traders cluster orders here.
- Max risk stays under 8% on dip entries — preserves capital for the next setup.
Bear Case Trigger?
Close below $3.54 on rising volume → EXIT IMMEDIATELY
Gap below $3.50? Cut at open. No heroics.
Smart Stop Management (Trail Like a Pro)
| Price Hits | Move Stop To | Why |
|---|---|---|
| $4.20 | $3.70 | Lock in breakeven + dip cushion |
| $4.65 (channel break) | $4.10 | Protect gains; let winners run |
| $4.90 | $4.65 | Take partial profits; trail rest |
Dip buy at $3.70–$3.80 → stop $3.48 → target $4.90 = ~30% upside, <8% risk
That’s 4:1 reward-to-risk — the kind of edge we hunt.
Not financial advice — DYOR, size small, respect the stop.
Who’s loading the dip? Drop your entry and I’ll track it with you. Let’s go! 📈
Data: Oct 28, 2025 close. Chart: TradingView. Sentiment: X + analyst consensus.
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