UPST Ways To Trade

UPST Rebound Watch: How Your Favorite Traders Might Play It

This isn't the best opportunity it doesn't look but it's really interesting explanation of the different trading style.

September 19, 2025 - Upstart Holdings (UPST) is sitting at $67.89 after a solid week, teasing a potential rebound. But how would your go-to traders approach this setup? I broke down three styles—@Stockplaymaker1's breakout hunting, @HessyTrades' volatility scalping, and @TigerLineTrades' T-Line momentum—and applied them to UPST's current chart. Here's what those setups could look like if we get that Monday morning action.

The Trader Breakdown

@Stockplaymaker1: The Breakout Hunter

Style: Watches for clean breakouts above key resistance on increasing volume, often adding to watchlists for quick scalps or swings.

UPST Preview Setup: If UPST gaps up or pushes above $70 early Monday (building on last week's 4.4% intraday pop), it could test the $73.76 resistance. A breakout here with volume >5M shares (vs. recent avg. of 6.19M) would scream "add to watchlist"—targeting $84 (mid-term resistance) with a stop below $68.

Tweet vibe: "UPST breaking out on AI lending hype—eyes on $84 if volume holds!"

Quick Visual: Imagine a daily chart showing a tight consolidation coil around $67-71, then a volume spike arrowing up through $73.76—classic breakout flag.

@HessyTrades: The Volatility Scalper

Style: Thrives on high-beta movers like UPST (beta 2.38), scalping intraday swings off volatility spikes, often using VWAP or short-term EMAs for entries.

UPST Preview Setup: Post-open, if UPST sees a quick 2-3% rip to $70 on light volume (say, from overnight news on lending partnerships), they'd jump in for a scalp targeting $72, with a tight stop at $68.50. If it rejects and drops to $65, they'd flip short for a bounce trade back to VWAP (~$68).

Tweet vibe: "UPST volatility alert—long above VWAP, short the rejection. Beta beast mode."

Quick Visual: 5-min chart with wild candlesticks: a green hammer at $70 (entry), red doji rejection at $73, then a quick pullback—pure scalper candy.

@TigerLineTrades: The T-Line Momentum Master

Style: Relies on the T-Line (8-period EMA) for trend confirmation—long above it on pullbacks, short below on breakdowns, with momentum filters like RSI >50.

UPST Preview Setup: UPST is already above its 8-day EMA (~$65), so a Monday open holding that level with RSI climbing from neutral (currently ~52) could signal a T-Line bounce. Entry long at $68 pullback, targeting $73.76, stop below $64. If it dips under the T-Line, they'd eye a short to $61 support.

Tweet vibe: "UPST respecting T-Line—long bias if we hold $65, momentum building."

Quick Visual: Hourly chart with the T-Line as a smooth upward-sloping line under price; a pullback wick touches it without breaking, then green candles rally—textbook T-Line hold.

The "Nifty" Combined Setup

What if all three align? Picture UPST opening flat-to-up, consolidating above $68, then breaking $70-73 on volume for a shared bullish nod. That's the Texas-sized opportunity—20% upside potential if the breakout gods smile. But watch that $61 support; a broader market dip could flip the script bearish.

Entry Points & Probability Table

Here's how those setups stack up with projected entries, targets, and rough probabilities (based on historical patterns—not financial advice!):

Trader/Setup	Entry Price	Stop Loss	Target Price	Potential Return (%)	Est. Probability
@Stockplaymaker1 (Breakout)	$70.00	$68.00	$84.00	+20%	55%
@HessyTrades (Scalp Long)	$69.50	$68.50	$72.00	+3.6%	70%
@TigerLineTrades (T-Line)	$68.00	$64.00	$73.76	+8.5%	65%
Combined "Nifty" Rebound	$68.50	$66.00	$76.00	+10.9%	60%

Final Thoughts

UPST's AI lending story + recent 5.43% monthly gain makes it a watchlist staple, but that 2.38 beta means volatility gonna volatility. Whether you're a breakout hunter, scalper, or T-Line disciple, Monday's open could set the tone. I'll be watching those trader feeds for real-time calls—stay tuned!

Disclaimer: This is for entertainment/educational purposes only. Do your own research and never risk more than you can afford to lose.

Tags: #UPST #StockTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #DayTrading