HBAR Update — Bullish Signals
Hedera (HBAR) Update: Breakout Momentum Builds – Is $0.40 in Sight?
Published on September 11, 2025, at 10:55 PM CDT
Building on our previous analysis, Hedera (HBAR) continues to show strong bullish signals as of September 11, 2025. With the price holding firm above key support levels and testing resistance, the potential breakout from patterns like the falling wedge and bullish pennant appears increasingly likely. Recent ETF developments and technical recoveries are fueling optimism, but risks remain. Here's the latest detailed breakdown.
Technical Analysis: Bullish Patterns Gaining Strength
HBAR's chart remains constructive, with multiple patterns aligning for an upside move. Recent analyses confirm the following:
1. Falling Wedge and Double Bottom Confirmation
The falling wedge pattern has held, with HBAR bouncing from support around $0.22 and now trading at $0.2357. This aligns with the double bottom low at $0.126 and neckline at $0.2298, retested successfully in early September. A sustained break above $0.242 could confirm the pattern, targeting $0.26–$0.27 short-term, per recent forecasts. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["166f53"]}) The bullish pennant continues to contract, signaling a potential explosive move toward $0.37–$0.40 if volume supports the breakout. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["2f90de"]})
2. Inverse Head and Shoulders Progress
On the weekly timeframe, the inverse head and shoulders is maturing, with the right shoulder forming. A neckline break could propel HBAR toward long-term targets of $3.30, though near-term focus remains on $0.30 resistance. Community sentiment on X highlights this as a key reversal structure. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["6e6477"]})
3. Bull Flag Formation
Recent X analyses point to a bull flag pattern on the 4H chart, with price respecting support and bouncing 11% from recent lows. A breakout above resistance could target $0.30 immediately, with $0.40 in sight if momentum builds. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["32e4ea","beb0ed"]})
Key Levels to Watch
With HBAR at $0.2357, monitor these updated levels:
- Resistance: $0.242 (immediate), $0.26–$0.27 (short-term target), and $0.30 (major hurdle). A break above $0.30 could accelerate toward $0.35–$0.40 by end-September. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["dbeb0a"]})
- Support: $0.226–$0.22187 (critical zone), $0.21, and $0.194. A drop below $0.22187 could shift bias bearish toward $0.21059. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["adeff3"]})
- Fibonacci Levels: Price is above the 0.618 retracement ($0.23) from the January 2025 high of $0.401, supporting bullish bias. Next Fibonacci extension targets $0.318 by October. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["5bf278"]})
Technical Indicators
Indicators show building momentum:
- RSI: At 47.87–54 on daily charts, neutral but trending bullish; avoid overbought signals above 70 on shorter frames. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["1ce6cb","d17fe6"]})
- MACD: Bullish crossover confirmed, with histogram expanding positively. Weakening bearish divergence supports upside. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["06057d"]})
- Volume: Up 78% to $242M in 24 hours, confirming rallies. Look for spikes above $250M on breakouts. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["daba36"]})
- Moving Averages: Holding above 100/200-day EMAs ($0.209–$0.218), with "Buy" rating from TradingView oscillators. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["eded44"]})
Bearish Risks to Consider
While bullish, watch for:
- Descending Triangle/Head-and-Shoulders: If $0.22187 fails, a 30% drop to $0.16–$0.194 is possible, aligning with bearish X scenarios. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["60d43a"]})
- Market Correlation: High BTC tie could drag HBAR down if broader sentiment sours; retest $0.24–$0.25 support first. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["d2d1dc"]})
Key Takeaway
HBAR's resilience above $0.22 and falling wedge bounce signal a high-probability breakout toward $0.26–$0.40 by late September, driven by ETF hype and technicals. Volume and $0.242 hold are crucial—failure could lead to $0.21 retest.
Fundamental Catalysts Driving HBAR
Fundamentals remain robust:
- Grayscale HBAR ETF Filing: Filed September 9, 2025, to convert trust to ETF; Nasdaq's Canary Capital spot HBAR ETF application (90% approval odds by Nov 11) boosts institutional inflows. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["235d48","894791"]})
- Coinbase Futures & Partnerships: CFTC-regulated futures live; new Swarm Markets tie for tokenized stocks (Apple, Tesla) enables instant settlements. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["a14a63"]})
- Network Upgrades: Hashgraph consensus hits 10,000 TPS; AI integrations (Nvidia) and DeFi growth (Archax/BlackRock tokenization) enhance utility. Governing Council (Google, IBM) adds credibility. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["a18516","a282a6"]})
Updated Breakout Scenarios
Revised based on September 11 data:
- Bullish Case: Break $0.242–$0.30 with volume → $0.35–$0.40 by Q3 end; medium-term $0.55–$1.00, long-term $1.50–$3.30 (inverse H&S completion). [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["e336bb","edac04"]})
- Bearish Case: Below $0.22187 → $0.16–$0.13; broader correction if BTC dips, but EMA support limits downside to $0.24. [](grok_render_citation_card_json={"cardIds":["91534a"]})
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry high risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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