Potential Swing Setups For Crypto This Week

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading is highly speculative and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The ideas presented here are purely speculative and intended as food for thought for experienced traders. The author and publisher are not responsible for any losses incurred.

The cryptocurrency market is a rollercoaster right now, with wild price swings creating opportunities for swing traders. Swing trading involves holding positions for days to weeks, aiming to capture short-term price movements. Recently, Stellar Lumens (XLM) was spotted near $0.22, while Bounce Token (AUCTION) made a sharp 7% jump. Other coins like Bitcoin (BTC), Monero (XMR), and Fetch.AI (FET) are also on traders’ radars. Let’s dive into some speculative swing trading ideas for these assets, based on technical patterns and market context.

Warning: Crypto markets are volatile, and these ideas are not guarantees of profit. Always use proper risk management and verify setups with your own analysis.

Market Context

The crypto market is buzzing with volatility. Bitcoin recently soared past $100,000 but faced a correction, dragging altcoins along. A market crash in February 2025 liquidated $2.3 billion, signaling potential capitulation and reversal opportunities. Altcoins like XLM, FET, and AUCTION often amplify Bitcoin’s moves, while XMR marches to its own beat due to its privacy focus. Here’s a breakdown of swing trading ideas for each coin.

1. Stellar Lumens (XLM)

Price Context: XLM is trading near $0.22, down significantly from its 2018 peak of $0.94. It’s testing key support levels, with whale activity and partnerships fueling speculation.

Technical Setup

Support/Resistance: Support at $0.22–$0.24; resistance at $0.30–$0.41.
Indicators: RSI ~60 (neutral); falling wedge and cup-and-handle patterns suggest a breakout above $0.39.
Catalysts: Whale transactions (49.5M and 245M XLM) and PayPal integration.

Swing Trade Idea

Bullish Setup: Buy near $0.22–$0.24 if XLM holds support and closes above $0.25. Target $0.30–$0.41 (20–80% upside). Stop-loss below $0.21.

Bearish Setup: Short below $0.21, targeting $0.18–$0.19. Stop-loss above $0.24.

Timeframe: 1–3 weeks.

Risks: XLM’s correlation with BTC could lead to losses if Bitcoin corrects. Competition from XRP and regulatory uncertainty are concerns.

2. Bitcoin (BTC)

Price Context: BTC corrected from $109,000 to ~$80,000–$90,000. As the market leader, its movements guide altcoin trends.

Technical Setup

Support/Resistance: Support at $80,000–$85,000; resistance at $95,000–$100,000.
Indicators: RSI ~50–60; consolidation likely post-correction.
Catalysts: Institutional adoption (ETFs, corporate treasuries) and pro-crypto policies.

Swing Trade Idea

Bullish Setup: Buy near $85,000–$87,000 if BTC forms a higher low. Target $95,000–$100,000 (10–15% upside). Stop-loss below $80,000.

Bearish Setup: Short below $80,000, targeting $70,000–$75,000. Stop-loss above $85,000.

Timeframe: 1–4 weeks.

Risks: Macroeconomic factors like Fed policies or trade tensions could increase volatility.

3. Monero (XMR)

Price Context: XMR, a privacy coin, is less correlated with BTC but benefits from anonymity demand.

Technical Setup

Support/Resistance: Support at $15–$16; resistance at $18–$20.
Indicators: Tight ranges precede breakouts; volume spikes signal momentum.
Catalyst: Decentralized privacy features ensure steady demand.

Swing Trade Idea

Bullish Setup: Buy near $15–$18 if XMR holds support and volume rises. Target $18–$20 (20–24%). Stop-loss below $14.

Bearish Setup: Short below $14, targeting $13–$13. Stop-loss above $16.

Timeframe: 1–3 days.

Risks: Regulatory scrutiny on privacy coins and low liquidity could amplify volatility.

4. Fetch.AI (FET)

Price Context: FET rides the AI narrative but is highly speculative, amplifying market swings.

Technical Setup

Support/Resistance: Support at $1.50–$1.70; resistance at $2.00–$2.50.
Indicators: Neutral RSI; Bollinger Band squeeze signals a breakout.
Catalyst: AI-blockchain integration and ecosystem growth.

Swing Trade Idea

Bullish Setup: Buy near $1.50–$1.70 on a volume spike. Target $2.00–$2.50 (30–50% upside). Stop-loss below $1.40.

Bearish Setup: Short below $1.40, targeting $1.20–$1.30. Stop-loss above $1.70.

Timeframe: 1–2 weeks.

Risks: FET’s speculative nature invites pump-and-dump risks. Altcoin corrections could hit hard.

5. Bounce Token (AUCTION)

Price Context: AUCTION’s recent 7% jump signals momentum, but low liquidity makes it risky.

Technical Setup

Support/Resistance: Support at $12–$13; resistance at $15–$18.
Indicators: RSI nearing overbought (~70); volume confirms momentum.
Catalyst: Niche DeFi/NFT auction platform drives speculative rallies.

Swing Trade Idea

Bullish Setup: Buy on a pullback to $12–$13 with high volume. Target $15–$18 (20–40% upside). Stop-loss below $11.50.

Bearish Setup: Short near $15 if RSI hits overbought, targeting $12–$13. Stop-loss above $16.

Timeframe: 3–7 days.

Risks: Low liquidity increases slippage and manipulation risks. Small market cap invites sharp dumps.

Top Picks and Risk Management

Best Bet: XLM stands out due to its technical patterns, whale activity, and fundamentals. Enter long near $0.22–$0.24, targeting $0.30–$0.41.

High-Risk Play: AUCTION could extend its rally but requires tight risk management due to low liquidity.

Safe Play: BTC offers stability, with support at $85,000 and upside to $95,000.

Speculative Plays: FET and XMR suit aggressive traders, but monitor breakouts closely.

Risk Management Tips

Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1–2% of your portfolio per trade.
Stop-Losses: Set stops 5–10% below entry to limit losses.
Take Profits: Scale out at 20% and 50% gains to secure profits.
Monitor BTC: Bitcoin’s price action heavily influences XLM, FET, and AUCTION. XMR is less correlated but still impacted by market sentiment.

Final Thoughts

These swing trading ideas are speculative and based on current market conditions as of June 22, 2025. Crypto markets are unpredictable, and technical setups can fail. Use platforms like CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap, or TradingView to verify price levels and trends. Stay cautious, as macroeconomic factors and Bitcoin’s volatility could shake things up.

Final Disclaimer: This content is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries significant risks, including the potential loss of your entire investment. Always do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor. The author and publisher are not liable for any financial losses or damages resulting from your trading decisions.

Swing Trading Opportunities for Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB)

The cryptocurrency market remains volatile, with meme coins like DOGE and SHIB driven by sentiment, technical patterns, and external catalysts (e.g., Elon Musk’s tweets, market trends). Below are speculative swing trading ideas based on recent price action, technical analysis, and market context as of June 22, 2025. These are informed by web data and posts on X, but I’ve critically evaluated them for relevance and accuracy.

1. Dogecoin (DOGE)

Price Context: DOGE is trading at approximately $0.1514 (per CoinMarketCap, June 22, 2025), down from a recent high of $0.17 but showing signs of stabilization. X posts suggest a falling wedge pattern and potential bullish reversal near $0.16 support.

Technical Analysis:

Support/Resistance: Support at $0.15–$0.16 (weekly trendline and demand zone); resistance at $0.19–$0.21 and $0.23–$0.26. A break above $0.1642 could signal bullish momentum, while a drop below $0.15 risks further declines to $0.13.
Indicators: Daily RSI is around 45–48, indicating neutral to slightly oversold conditions, with potential for a bullish divergence. A recent 20 SMA crossover above the 50 SMA on the 4-hour chart suggests short-term upside potential.
Patterns: A falling wedge on the weekly chart and a bullish flag on the daily chart point to a potential breakout if volume increases.
Catalysts: Elon Musk’s influence remains a wildcard, with historical price spikes tied to his tweets (e.g., 55.4% gain after a December 2020 tweet). Recent ETF filings and whale accumulation add bullish sentiment, but a broader market correction could weigh on DOGE.

Swing Trade Opportunity:

Bullish Setup:
- Entry: Buy near $0.15–$0.16 if DOGE holds support and shows a daily close above $0.1642 with volume confirmation.
- Target: $0.19–$0.23 (25–50% upside).
- Stop-Loss: Below $0.145 (~9% below entry) to limit downside.
- Probability: ~60–65%, based on support holding and bullish technical signals (wedge breakout, SMA crossover).
- Timeframe: 1–3 days, given meme coin volatility and your preference for short-term trades.
Bearish Setup:
- Entry: Short below $0.145 if DOGE breaks support with high volume.
- Target: $0.13–$0.135 (10–15% downside).
- Stop-Loss: Above $0.16 (~10% above entry).
- Probability: ~50%, as downside momentum may be limited by community support.
- Timeframe: 1–2 days.

Risks:

DOGE’s price is highly speculative, driven by social media hype and Musk’s tweets, which are unpredictable.
A Bitcoin correction (e.g., below $80,000) could drag DOGE lower due to market correlation.
Low fundamental value and no supply cap increase volatility.

2. Shiba Inu (SHIB)

Price Context: SHIB is trading at approximately $0.0000248 (per Bitcoinist, November 2024, with no newer price data), up 2.9% in the last 24 hours and 4.3% over the past week. Recent analysis suggests SHIB is mirroring DOGE’s historical price action, with potential for a significant rally.

Technical Analysis:

Support/Resistance: Support at $0.000022–$0.000023; resistance at $0.00003 and $0.000044. A breakout above the 50-day EMA ($0.000026) could target $0.00003–$0.000049.
Indicators: Daily RSI at 48, showing delayed bullish momentum but room for growth. A MACD bullish crossover signals increasing buying pressure.
Patterns: A falling wedge breakout on the daily chart supports a 6% weekly gain, with potential for a 100%+ move if SHIB clears $0.00003.
Catalysts: SHIB’s ecosystem (Shibarium Layer-2, token burns) drives long-term potential. A 1,944% burn rate surge in April 2025 reduced supply, boosting scarcity. Social media buzz and potential exchange listings (e.g., Robinhood) could spark rallies.

Swing Trade Opportunity:

Bullish Setup:
- Entry: Buy near $0.000023–$0.000024 on a pullback to support or a breakout above $0.000026 with volume.
- Target: $0.00003–$0.000044 (25–80% upside).
- Stop-Loss: Below $0.000021 (~12% below entry).
- Probability: ~65–70%, driven by technical breakout and ecosystem developments.
- Timeframe: 1–3 days, aligning with your preference for quick trades.
Bearish Setup:
- Entry: Short below $0.000021 if SHIB fails to hold support.
- Target: $0.000018–$0.000019 (10–20% downside).
- Stop-Loss: Above $0.000024 (~14% above entry).
- Probability: ~45%, as SHIB’s community and burns limit downside.
- Timeframe: 1–2 days.

Risks:

SHIB’s concentrated supply (top 10 wallets hold ~66% of tokens) increases manipulation risk.
Dependence on sentiment and lack of widespread merchant adoption make it vulnerable to dumps.
A failure to break the 50-day EMA could lead to consolidation or a pullback to $0.000018.

Top Pick

SHIB offers the better swing trade opportunity due to its recent breakout, ecosystem developments (Shibarium, burns), and potential to mirror DOGE’s historical rallies. Enter long near $0.000023–$0.000024, targeting $0.00003–$0.000044 for 25–80% returns. DOGE is a close second but relies more on external catalysts like Musk’s tweets, which are less predictable.

Risk Management

Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of your portfolio per trade to manage volatility.
Stop-Losses: Use tight stops (8–12% below entry) to protect against sudden drops.
Take Profits: Scale out at 20% and 50% gains to lock in profits.
Monitor BTC: Both DOGE and SHIB correlate with Bitcoin. A BTC drop below $80,000 could trigger altcoin sell-offs.
Verify Setups: Use TradingView or CoinGecko for real-time price confirmation, as meme coins move fast

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