GNS A WILD SWING TRADE OPPORTUNITY

Swing Trading Setup: $GNS (Genius Group Ltd.)

Last updated: June 16, 2025

Context and Recent Price Action

• Recent Price Movement: $GNS has been highly volatile. After dropping 19.3% in a single day, it rebounded 37.95%, trading near $0.6179. However, some traders report it near $1.15 following a pullback from $0.91. For analysis, we’ll assume the price is near $1.00.
• Technical Levels: Support at $0.97–$1.00; resistance at $1.05, $1.25, $1.31, $1.40, $1.46–$1.50, $1.99, and $2.30. A break over $1.25 could signal continuation.
• Market Sentiment: Bullish sentiment on X (Twitter) suggests hopes for a short squeeze or gains if a $100M legal settlement occurs. These are speculative.
• Analyst Outlook: Wall Street analysts maintain a bearish 12-month forecast with unspecified targets, urging caution.

What an Experienced Trader Might Do

1. Confirm the Setup

• Chart Patterns: Watch for bullish setups like an ascending triangle, double bottom, or break above the 50- or 200-day SMA.
• Indicators: Check for bullish RSI, MACD crossovers, or bounce from key moving averages.
• Volume: A spike in volume during price movement confirms interest. Watch for breakouts above $1.05 or $1.25 with volume.

2. Entry Point

• Buy Zone: Near $1.00–$1.05 on confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle).
• Stop Loss: Below $0.90–$0.97 support to reduce downside risk.

3. Target Levels

• Short-Term: $1.25 (25% gain), $1.40 (40% gain), $1.50 (50% gain).
• Aggressive: $2.00–$2.30 (100–130% gain), speculative without catalyst.
• Fibonacci: If $1.00 is the 78.6% retracement, look for a bounce to $1.40–$1.50 (50%–38.2%).

4. Risk Management

• Position Sizing: Risk only 1–2% of account value. With a $10,000 account and $0.10 stop, buy 1,000 shares at $1.00.
• Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 2:1 ratio. For a $0.10 stop, aim for at least $0.20 gain.

5. Monitor Catalysts

• Legal Settlement: A rumored $100M claim (10% recoverable?) could act as a speculative upside driver.
• Macro Factors: Watch market indices (S&P 500 +2.4% YTD), crypto movement, and geopolitical risks.

6. Exit Strategy

• Scale Out: Take partial profit at $1.25 and $1.50 resistance levels.
• Trailing Stops: Use 5–10% trailing stops to protect gains during breakout runs.

Odds of Success

• 60–70%: Chance of upside continuation if $1.05 breaks with support from volume/momentum.
• 50–60%: Odds of hitting $1.25–$1.50 in 1–2 weeks.
• 30–40%: Risk of falling below $0.90, hitting stop loss.
• 10–20%: Probability of 100%+ move to $2.00+ from a catalyst like legal news or short squeeze.

Potential Percentage Gains

• Conservative: $1.25 = 25% gain
• Moderate: $1.40–$1.50 = 40–50% gain
• Aggressive: $2.00–$2.30 = 100–130% gain (low probability without news)
• Speculative: $6–$10 = 500–900% gain (highly unlikely, dependent on unconfirmed legal outcomes)
• Realistic Goal: 25–50% in 1–2 weeks, with stop loss at $0.90–$0.95 to protect downside

Risks and Considerations

• Extreme volatility: Sudden -17% or +30% days can whipsaw trades.
• Bearish analyst sentiment: Wall Street remains cautious on $GNS.
• Unconfirmed catalysts: Legal settlements or new products remain speculative.
• Macro risks: Fed decisions, wars, or economic events can impact momentum trades.

Recommendation Summary

• Entry: Watch for confirmation at $1.00 support or breakout at $1.05+.
• Target: Scale out at $1.25–$1.50 for 25–50% profit.
• Stop Loss: $0.90–$0.95 to minimize losses.
• Risk-Reward: Maintain a 2:1 or better ratio.
• News Watch: Monitor legal, protocol, or market updates.

Final Thought:

An experienced swing trader would cautiously consider $GNS near $1.00 with tight risk controls and realistic upside expectations. Chasing speculative targets like $6–$10 requires confirmed catalysts and is not advised for risk-averse traders.

Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This is not financial advice. Always consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions.